FOX Business host Larry Kudlow gives his final predictions for the day before Election Day on ‘Kudlow.’
Let’s say tomorrow’s results are a big surprise for most people and that’s the subject of the riff. Almost all analysts and pollsters are calling The Trump-Harris race it’s too close a toss-up to call it. Maybe so, but I can think of a few big patterns that the voters probably didn’t think of.
One of them is the large number of people who voted early for the GOP, completely unlike in 2020, and actually supported by President Trump – who really came to this issue. Also, voter registration changes appear to favor Republicans in more than 30 states. Here are two ace wrestlers who appeared on Bret Baier’s “Special Report” last night. Start with Mark Penn, a Democrat. roll tape:
BAIER: “Which side do you want to be on tonight, watching what you’re watching?”
PENN: “Well, I’d like to be Trump tonight for the simple reason that there are a lot of dead polls but the only fact we know is that Republicans have been much better at mail and early voting than they ever were.”
INFL INCREASED 2.4% IN SEPTEMBER, ABOVE EXPECTATIONS
‘Claman Countdown’ panelists Joe Pinion and Raj Goyle discuss tougher boundaries in battleground states.
Here’s Republican Alex Castellanos:
ALEX CASTELLANOS: “I think the voters are doing this wrong. // What I think they’re missing is a big shift in voter registration under all of this. 31 states have registered to vote by party — 30 of them in the last four years for Republicans.”
Deep down, it looks like the Democrats are facing a major vote deficit in all the battleground states. Meanwhile, President Trump and the Republicans are doing very well in the last election, in both absentee and recent polls. There is a decline in the number of urban voters facing Democrats.
On one of yesterday’s talk shows, former Obama adviser Jim Messina called the early voting numbers “a little scary” and, again, there are reports that early voting among Black voters is coming in much lower than in 2020. Especially in Atlanta, Charlotte, Detroit. , and Milwaukee – to name a few.
Another point that voters may be missing is that Donald Trump’s position nationally and across the battlefield is much better today than it was four years ago. Tony Fabrizio, the chief inspector of Mr. Trump, shows that nationally Trump has improved by 7.9 points –2.5 in Arizona, almost 3 in Georgia, almost 8 points in Michigan, 4.5 in Nevada, more than 5 in Pennsylvania, and 6.5 in Wisconsin.
The pay-to-play betting market, Polymarket, shows Trump as a 58-42 favorite and I wonder if these crackerjack voters understand how much Trump has grown his working class coalition. A coalition of many races, a coalition of many people, whites, Hispanics, blacks, Asians, young people, unions.
I think this is a stretch the alliance it’s a function of how many things have gone wrong and broken in the last four years. As a partial list: economy, cost of living, affordability, border, public schools, universities — to name a few.
Mr. Trump says Kamala broke it, and he will fix it. That idea of ”disruption” is a key element of Trump’s staff movement.
If he asks, “Are you better today than four years ago?” — it’s not just campaign rhetoric, it’s rooted in a broken reality.
You can add to that: a world on fire, from Afghanistan, Ukraine, and now the Middle East. You can add to all that — how Trumpian labor union it does not like the awakened culture, with its racial and gender orientations and its hostility to Catholics, other Christians, and religion in general.
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By the way, people don’t want to give up their gas-powered cars and look forward to $2 gas at the pump, either. Finally, Mr. Trump has taken the stage in campaign pose after pose with interesting new faces: Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tulsi Gabbard, RFK, Jr., JD Vance, and others.
Not our father’s GOP. It is not a group of big business and the rich. Trump’s new big tent will include all traditional Republicans, but the party is no longer based on Wall Street or the Business Roundtable. Have all the smart cops figured this out? I do not think so. Let’s say tomorrow’s results are a big surprise for most people. That’s the wrap.
This article is adapted from Larry Kudlow’s opening remarks on Nov. 4, 2024, edition of “Kudlow.”
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